Notes from Dr. Borkosky

A LinkedIn Top Voice with over 420,000 followers, my first book, Cleantech Con Artists: A True Vegas Caper is a first-person, man-bites-dog adventure that reviewers have called “a nonfiction masterpiece… The writing style oozes a confidence bordering on arrogance… part Perry Mason, part young whippersnapper, part film critic, part Seymour Hersh, part street hustler and very much part emerging writer extraordinaire.”. One of the few things the Donald Trump and Joe Biden campaigns agree on is that recent voter polls are not accurate. Pinterest. And prosecute a general! In short time frames, like the weeks or days before an election, he argues that polls lack predictive validity. According to Gallup, at the end of September 56% of registered voters expect Trump to win, while only 40% expect Biden to prevail. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. June 17, 2020.

‘Cops wear body-cams, but the FBI agent interviewing a 3 star general doesn’t have to record that conversation?

You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! “There’s mounting evidence suggesting that Trump is breaking down to a historic defeat.”, That was last week.

Donald Luskin’s TrendMacro report also forecasts a Trump win. Gloria Christie - November 20, 2019. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper.

'", Get all the stories you need-to-know from the most powerful name in news delivered first thing every morning to your inbox. At time of writing, Miller’s model gives Biden-Harris an 83.5% chance of prevailing. In a conversation about police brutality, which is a problem that has affected the lives of many people around the country on a real basis, Republicans veered into a rant about securing protections for Donald Trump’s political allies. Discussing an FBI interview of Flynn in mid-January, Jordan added: ‘There’s no recording of that interview.

It’s not.

That makes no sense!

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten,

I consider myself a historian, author, and businessman, not a journalist.

You may opt-out by. Most polls over the past month show Biden leading, some by double digits. To better understand the rapidly shifting money odds on the 2020 election, here is a look at selected non-voter polling data.

Specifically, he used the context of a discussion about policing reforms to launch into a rant about … Online sportsbooks offer odds on state elections, 56% of registered voters told Gallup that they’re better off than four years ago, Trump voters are more than twice as enthusiastic, TrendMacro report also forecasts a Trump win, gives Biden-Harris an 83.5% chance of prevailing.

As Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-Calif.) put it, addressing Republicans directly right before Jordan spoke: ‘Until you’re willing to get rid of the straw men, get rid of the confusion, get rid of all of the different tactics that you’re using to avoid the hard conversation about race in America, we are not going to get where we need to be, to have equality.’. It’s amazing how staggeringly irrelevant that Republicans have managed to make their core positions. Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan, Republican member of the House Judiciary Committee, joins Shannon Bream on 'Fox News @ Night.'. Google+. “Republicans have swamped Democrats in adding new voters to the rolls,” according to NBC News, “a dramatic GOP improvement over 2016, even if new registrations have lagged 2016 rates across the board.”. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Certainly, he gains few votes by attacking a group of American heroes during Donald Trump’s impeaching hearings.

TOPSHOT - (COMBO) US President Donald Trump (L) and Democratic Presidential candidate former Vice ... [+] President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio on September 29, 2020. Jordan seems to think that longstanding FBI policy around conducting interviews constitutes some kind of affront against the Trump team specifically. During a Wednesday House Judiciary Committee hearing about a police reform bill, the committee’s top Republican Jim Jordan decided that now was the time to rant and rave about the Russia investigation.

Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. 0. Secret Trump Voters. “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?” Ronald Reagan’s famous 1980 quote inspired a Gallup tracking poll starting in 1984. Jordan said that the cancel culture is calling for defunding and even abolishing of the police. 0. He ordered the largest mass execution in U.S. history -- 38 Dakota men by hanging -- and signed the Homestead Act, which gave settlers land forcibly taken from Native Americans, the Wisconsin State Journal reported. After the Supreme Court vacancy, raucous first debate, and Covid-19 diagnosis, his odds cratered to about 32%.

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Voter registration trends.

Market data provided by Factset. Online sportsbooks offer odds on state elections, and Bovada features a number of debate-related prop bets. All rights reserved. Legal Statement. Marko Kolanovic, the head of quantitative research at J.P. Morgan, thinks secret Trump voters are significant.

This data presents, in most cases, a much different picture of the race two weeks from Election Day. “I can’t believe how close we are until election, and yet I think we have a lifetime of October surprises remaining.”. That is really what this election now in my mind all boils down to,” Jordan said.

During a Wednesday House Judiciary Committee hearing about a police reform bill, the committee’s top Republican Jim Jordan decided that now was the time to rant and rave about the Russia investigation.

Where does it stop? WhatsApp . RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - Idaho Senate - Risch vs. Jordan 2069. CloudResearch found Republican voters are more than twice as reluctant to share their preference as Democrats. No one is safe with the mob and that's why it is so important that we stand up now before this gets even more out of conrol. Rasmussen found similar trends, as did the Democracy Institute and Trafalgar Group.

Especially when you know the facts around that conversation that took place.’.

President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio on September 29, 2020. Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency.

I write about the business, history, and global culture of Las Vegas. The Real Clear Politics average, on the eve of the final presidential debate in Nashville, has Biden up 7.5 points nationally. And guess what they do with the notes? All rights reserved.

Last week, SportsBettingDime.com reported the odds at Biden -221, Trump +184. ” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Jordan reacted to University of Wisconsin students pushing for a statue of Abraham Lincoln to be removed from the Madison campus over his treatment of indigenous and black people. or redistributed.

Facebook. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Pinterest. Twitter. Joe Biden or President Trump? According to Business Insider, Kolanovic says the “liberal trend of ‘cancel culture’” could be leading Trump voters to being dishonest to pollsters, artificially skewing numbers in favor of Biden by 5-6%. They change ’em! Are you better off than you were four years ago? Market data provided by Factset. False precision? “Simply said,” he writes, “when making a forecast or wagering a bet in Vegas, it’s probably best not to use a poll for that particular human enterprise.”, “Trump is probably outperforming [the polls],” says Pat Morrow, political oddsmaker at Bovada LV. This September, 56% of registered voters told Gallup that they’re better off than four years ago – despite a polarizing president, devastating pandemic, and accompanying economic crisis.

WhatsApp. Specifically, he used the context of a discussion about policing reforms to launch into a rant about how, supposedly, there was some kind of grave injustice in the fact that FBI interviews with Trump’s former national security adviser Michael Flynn were not recorded. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions.

Facebook. Prosecute an American citizen based on that!’. “Who can save America?” the member of the House Judiciary Committee asked on "Fox News @ Night" Tuesday. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. By. Months later! I focus on deep analysis and long-term trends, not breaking news and partisan soundbites. I live near the Vegas Strip. (Photos by JIM WATSON and SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by JIM WATSON,SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images), EY & Citi On The Importance Of Resilience And Innovation, Impact 50: Investors Seeking Profit — And Pushing For Change. Watch below: New Trump Vs Biden 2020 Poll Show Plunge To 7 Month Low, Matt Gaetz Snarls ‘All Lives Matter’ During Wednesday Conniption Fit, Trump Posts Unhinged All-Caps Election Night Twitter Message, GOP Governor Snubs Trump & Reveals He Voted For Joe, Armed Trump Supporter Arrested After ‘Circling’ N.C. Polling Place, Deutsche Bank/Trump $340 Million Scandal Announced In Election Day Surprise, Damning Pages Of Mueller Report Released In Pre-Election Surprise, ‘The Lincoln Project’ Smokes Trump With Closing Statement To Voters. Google+. Trump’s betting odds peaked at 48% a month ago after the conventions, according to Bovada LV. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Computer models.

Representative Jim Jordan (R-OH) has a very big problem.

I mean, think about the cancel culture mob [that] says that if you stand for the pledge now, you stand for the anthem, somehow you're terrible,” Jordan said. TEXAS TOSS UP: FOX NEWS POLL SHOWS BIDEN-TRUMP IN A 1 POINT  RACE. Although Swalwell spoke before Jordan, Swalwell’s comments cover Jordan’s perspective as well. © 2020 Forbes Media LLC. Stony Brook political scientist Helmut Norpoth’s statistical model, which he calls the “Primary Model” and has correctly forecast five of the past six presidential elections, gives Trump a 91% chance of winning.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major. The Black Student Union and the Student Inclusion Coalition, both student organizations, called for the statue's removal in early June, despite Lincoln ending slavery in the United States. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience.

Legal Statement. Marketing expert John Tantillo warns that relying on polls creates false precision. There’s the 302 notes.

“In 21 Presidential elections since [scientific polling was invented in 1936], no challenger has ever put up these kinds of numbers,” Robert Duff writes.

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